Top 7 Elections to watch out for in 2020

At least 90 elections are scheduled in 2020 – all of them set to challenge the status quo either at the local or at the national and even the international level. While we still expect some surprises and un-scheduled elections to be held particularly in the second half of the year, almost all the elections have been set with some waiting for the specific dates to be finalized.

Conceptually, all elections are equal. However, there are a few that stands out. TheVote.Net lists the ten that are rather interesting because of the context that surrounds them.

Continue reading “Top 7 Elections to watch out for in 2020”

Uganda: Museveni reelected as President

Incumbent President Yoweri Museveni who has ruled the country since 1986 was declared winner by the Ugandan Electoral Commission after garnering 58.38% of the votes for President last 14 January 2021.

Museveni, who is from the National Resistance Movement, garnered 6.04 million votes beating ten other presidential contenders including the opposition figure, Bobi Wine of the National Unity Platform. Wine garnered only 3.6 million votes.

International observers, however, consider the election as fundamentally flawed and full of irregularities. The United State’s diplomat for Africa, Tibor Nagy, cited fraud reports, denial of accreditation to observers, violence and harassment of opposition members, and the arrest of civil society activists while African Elections Watch claimed observing irregularities, including the late opening of most polling stations, missing ballot papers, and illegally opened ballot boxes.

The official voter turnout is 57% but is being since 409 polling stations have been announced to have 100% voter turnout.

Elections For The Year 2021

African Elections

  • Ugandan general election — 14 January
  • Somali presidential election — 8 February
  • Central African general election — 14 February (second round)
  • Nigerien general election — 21 February (second round)
  • Ivorian parliamentary election — 6 March
  • Republic of the Congo presidential election — 21 March
  • Djiboutian presidential election — 9 April
  • Beninese presidential election — 11 April
  • Chadian presidential election — 11 April
  • Cape Verdean parliamentary election — 18 April
  • Somaliland parliamentary election — May
  • Ethiopian general election — 5 June
  • São Toméan presidential election — July
  • Zambia — 12 August
    • Zambian general election
    • Zambian presidential election
  • Cape Verdean presidential election — 17 October
  • Chadian parliamentary election — 23 October
  • Gambian presidential election — 4 December
  • Libya — 24 December
    • Libyan presidential election
    • Libyan parliamentary elections
  • Somali parliamentary election
  • Algerian legislative election
  • Moroccan general election

Asian Elections

  • Kazakh legislative election — 10 January
  • Kyrgyztan
    • Kyrgyz presidential election — 10 January
    • Kyrgyz parliamentary election — June
  • Laotian parliamentary election — 21 February
  • Vietnamese legislative election — 23 May
  • Mongolian presidential election — 9 June
  • Hong Kong legislative election — 5 September
  • Uzbek presidential election — October
  • Japanese general election — 22 October
  • Central Tibetan Administration general election

European Elections

  • Portuguese presidential election — 24 January
  • Liechtenstein general election — 7 February
  • Catalan regional election — 14 February
  • Kosovan parliamentary election — 14 February
  • Swiss referendums — 7 March
  • Germany
    • Baden-Württemberg state election — 14 March
    • Rhineland-Palatinate state election — 14 March
    • Hessian local elections — 14 March
    • Saxony-Anhalt state election — 6 June
    • Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election — 26 September
    • Thuringia state election — 26 September
    • Berlin state election — 26 September
    • German federal election — 26 September
  • Dutch general election — 17 March
  • Bulgarian parliamentary election — 4 April
  • Albanian parliamentary election — 25 April
  • United Kingdom local elections — 6 May
    • London Assembly election — 6 May
    • Senedd Cymru election — 6 May
    • Scottish Parliament election — 6 May
  • Cypriot legislative election — 23 May
  • Norwegian parliamentary election — 13 September
  • Russian legislative election — 19 September
  • Icelandic parliamentary election — 25 September
  • Czech legislative election — 8–9 October
  • Bulgarian presidential election — October or November
  • Moldovan parliamentary election Unknown
  • Kosovan presidential election Unknown

North American Elections

  • Canada
    • Newfoundland and Labrador general election — 12 March
    • Nunavut general election — 25 October 2021
    • Yukon general election — 18 November 2021
  • Greenland general election — 6 April
  • Mexico — 6 July
    • Mexican legislative election
    • Mexican gubernatorial elections
    • Mexican local elections
  • United States Elections
    • United States Senate election in Georgia –5 January (second round)
    • United States House of Representatives elections
      • Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district special election — 20 March (first round)
      • Louisiana’s 5th congressional district special election — 20 March (first round)
      • Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district special election — 24 April (second round, if necessary)
      • Louisiana’s 5th congressional district special election — 24 April (second round, if necessary)
      • Texas’s 6th congressional district special election — 1 May (first round)
      • Texas’s 6th congressional district special election — No earlier than 24 May (second round, if necessary)
      • Ohio’s 11th congressional district special election — No earlier than 3 August
      • New Mexico’s 1st congressional district special election
    • United States gubernatorial elections — 2 November
      • New Jersey gubernatorial election
      • Virginia gubernatorial election

The Carribean and Central America

  • Tobago House of Assembly election — 25 January
  • Salvadoran legislative election — 28 February
  • Belizean local elections — 4 March
  • Curaçao general election — 19 March
  • Haiti
    • Haitian constitutional referendum — 25 April
    • Haitian presidential election — 25 April (first round)
    • Haitian parliamentary election — 25 April (first round)
    • Haitian presidential election — 21 November (second round, if necessary)
    • Haitian parliamentary election — 21 November (second round, if necessary)
    • Haitian local elections — 21 November
  • Caymanian general election — 26 May
  • Saint Lucian general election — June
  • Coahuila elections
  • Aruban general election — September
  • Nicaraguan general election — 7 November
  • Honduran general election — 28 November

South American Elections

  • Ecuadorian general election — 7 February
  • Bolivian municipal and regional elections — 7 March
  • Peruvian general election — 11 April
  • Argentina — 24 October 2021
    • Argentine legislative election
    • Argentine provincial elections
  • Chilean general election — 21 November
  • Falkland Islands general election — November

Middle East Elections

  • Israel
    • Israeli legislative election — 23 March
    • Israeli presidential election — Summer
  • Palestine
    • Palestinian legislative election — 22 May
    • Palestinian presidential election — 31 July
    • Palestinian National Council election — 31 August
  • Iranian presidential election — 18 June
  • Syrian presidential election

Oceania Elections

  • Micronesian parliamentary election — 2 March
  • Australia
    • Western Australian state election — 13 March
  • Samoan general election — 9 April
  • Tongan general election — November

Joe Biden is 46th POTUS

Former United States (US) Vice President won the 2020 Presidential race beating incumbent President Donald Trump in a 290 to 214 electoral college vote. Biden also secured 74,991,167 popular votes as against Trunp’s 70,666,900 votes as of this writing.

The race was called off after the state of Pensylvania flipped for Biden followed by Nevada.

The 2020 presidential election marks the highest voter turnout in the United States for the past 120 years as millions of voters casted their votes despite the pandemic. According to Biden, the turnout proves “that democracy beats deep in the heart of America”. Based on current estimates, around 160 million people exercised their right to vote bring the turnout to 66.9%. The turnout is second to the 73.7% turnout in 1900.

The 2020 elections also made history as Biden’s win marked the first election of woman Vice President, Kamala Harris.

Trump, however, still remains defiant and would not concede. Expressing his rage over Twitter, the incumbent claims that he won the election and got 71 million legal votes, and that his observers were not allowed into the counting rooms. The tweet, however, has been flagged by Twitter saying the claim about election fraud is disputed.

Trump has also stated that the election is far from over and that he will be bringing the matter to the court.

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern wins second term in landslide election victory

By Julia Hollingsworth, CNN

(CNN)Jacinda Ardern has won a second term as New Zealand’s Prime Minister after her success at handling the country’s coronavirus outbreak helped secure a landslide victory.

Preliminary results show that Ardern’s center-left Labour Party has won 49% of the vote, meaning her party looks likely to score the highest result that any party has achieved since the current political system was introduced in 1996.

That result means her party is projected to win 64 out of 120 parliamentary seats, making it the first party to be able to govern alone under the current system. Coalitions are the norm in New Zealand, where no single party has won a majority of votes in the last 24 years.

Labour Leader Jacinda Ardern arrives with scones as she visits Labour Election Day volunteers in Auckland on October 17, 2020.
Labour Leader Jacinda Ardern arrives with scones as she visits Labour Election Day volunteers in Auckland on October 17, 2020. (Source here)

“Tonight, New Zealand has shown the Labour Party its greatest support in at least 50 years,” Ardern said in a powerful victory speech on Saturday night where she referred to the difficult times ahead for New Zealand. “And I can promise you: we will be a party that governs for every New Zealander.”

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Kamala Harris is Joe Biden’s running mate

Presidential candidate, Joe Biden of the Democratic Party, chose the California senator of Indian-Jamaican heritage, Kamala Harris, as his running mate in the 2020 United States presidential election.

Biden describes Harris as “a fearless fighter for the little guy, and one of the country’s finest public servants”. In a tweet, Biden claimed that Harris, who worked with his late son, Beau, his son, Beau, ” took on the big banks, lifted up working people, and protected women and kids from abuse.”

Photo credit: Democrats.org
Continue reading “Kamala Harris is Joe Biden’s running mate”

It’s China and Iran vs Russia in US Elections

The United States 2020 elections is becoming more divisive as countries started to align with Presidential candidates. According to US intelligence community officials, China and Iran are working against re-electionist President Donald Trump while Russia is working against the election of Democrat Presidential candidate Joe Biden.

The claim is being confirmed by National Counterintelligence and Security Center Director William Evanina who said that “Many foreign actors have a preference for who wins the election, which they express through a range of overt and private statements; covert influence efforts are rarer.”

Continue reading “It’s China and Iran vs Russia in US Elections”

Trump Raises $165 Million With Party in July, Outpacing Biden

NYTimes | Aug. 6, 2020

President Trump raised $165 million in July for his campaign and shared committees with the Republican National Committee, outpacing Joseph R. Biden Jr., who raised $140 million last month as a record-setting pace of money continues to flood into the presidential campaign.

Mr. Biden had out-raised Mr. Trump in the two previous months, the first time that the presumptive Democratic nominee had out-raised the Republican incumbent. Mr. Biden had raised $141 million in his shared accounts with Democratic National Committee in June, compared to $131 million for Mr. Trump with the R.N.C.

US President Donald Trump

The sums for both parties are far higher than four years ago, when Hillary Clinton raised $89 million with the party in July and Mr. Trump collected $80 million.

Mr. Trump released his July figure in a statement on Wednesday evening. Mr. Biden’s campaign announced his fund-raising haul also that evening.

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Biden builds lead as Trump goes from trailing to flailing

By DAVID SIDERS | Politico.Com | 07/04/2020

As recently as one month ago, Donald Trump was merely losing. Now he is flailing, trudging into the Independence Day weekend at the nadir of his presidency, trailing by double digits in recent polls and in danger of dragging the Republican Senate down with him.

But there are still four months before the election — and any number of ways for Biden to blow it.

US Presidential aspirant, Joe Biden. (Source: Politico.com)

Even the best campaigns “can get f—– up,” said Kelly Dietrich, founder of the National Democratic Training Committee, which trains candidates across the country. “There are a million ways to lose.”

Dietrich, like even the most circumspect observers of the 2020 campaign, does not predict that Biden will fall apart. But Democrats carry checklists in their minds of the universe of things that could alter the course of the campaign.

Biden might say the wrong thing at a debate, or have an awkward moment in an interview or at a press conference. Trump’s massive advertising campaign might begin to resonate, hurting Biden’s favorability ratings. Biden’s campaign might make poor decisions about spending allocations in the battleground states, or the coverage of his campaign may sour if he loses even a percentage point or two in polls. Presidential candidates with large leads have all suffered from less.

And then there are the factors outside of Biden’s control. It is possible that Trump before November will announce a coronavirus vaccine, whether real or imagined. And it is possible that the economy will improve, a prospect Republicans are pinning their hopes to.

So much has changed over such a short period of time — so far, much of it to Biden’s advantage — that it’s impossible to rule out any kind of black swan political event.

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View from Japan: South Korea’s Pandemic Elections

By Tadashi Kimiya | The Diplomat

In elections held in South Korea last week, the ruling liberal Democratic Party and its satellite Citizen Party won 180 seats of the 300 seats in the National Assembly. The conservative opposition United Future Party and its satellite Future Korea Party were meanwhile left with just 103 seats.

Credit: (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man)

The resounding win frees the government from the limitations of the National Assembly Advancement Act, so that it is now able to legislate anything other than constitutional amendments. This was a historic election, even more so when taking into consideration that it took place under the extraordinary circumstances of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Some observers have argued that South Korean politics might be transitioning from a conservative/liberal two-party system to a liberal-predominant party system, like the conservative LDP-predominant party system that existed in Japan during the Cold War. However, if we look at voter turnout for candidates in single-seat constituencies, it was 49.9 percent for the liberal ruling party and 41.5 percent for the conservative opposition party, hardly a crushing difference. Moreover, in proportional representation constituencies, the other conservative opposition party actually finished first with 33.8 percent, leading the other liberal with 33.4 percent, a low figure even when accounting for the split in the liberal group.

Given these numbers, it is premature to conclude that we are at the start of an era dominated by a single party. Indeed, it is worth remembering that conservative votes accounted for more than 60 percent of the results in the 2007 presidential election 13 years ago, giving the conservatives a landslide win over their liberal opponents, despite a split between the conservative candidates, and bringing about a change of government.

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Democracy wins over Covid-19 pandemic

Even the Coronavirus disease (Covid)-19 has no match for the South Korean voters when they turned out to vote for the members of their National Assembly. 66.21% of the 43.99 million voters went out to cast their votes despite the ongoing pandemic — the highest turnout since 1992.

The National Assembly elections in the country is a combination of first-past-the-post elections for the 253 constituencies and proportional party list system for the 47 members of the parliament. The liberal Democratic Party bagged 163 of the seats while its satellite party, the Together Citizen’s Party, won 17 seats. Together they occupy 180 or 60% of the 300 National Assembly seats.

Meanwhile, the conservatives made their worst performance since 1960 with the United Future Party and its satellite Future Korea Party gaining only 103 seats.

With the election results, the liberals are seen to have the freehand to legislate anything other than constitutional amendments. Being a mid-term elections, the results also reaffirm the leadership of South Korean President, Moon Jae-In.

Allocation of seats in the new electoral system
Red: 253 constituency seats under first-past-the-post
Blue: 30 proportional seats under the compensatory additional member system
Green: 17 proportional seats under the parallel voting system
Source: King Wither