President Evo Morales of the Plurinationational State of Bolivia is seeking reelection this October 2019 under the Movement for Socialism (MAS). He is being challenged by Carlos Mesa of The Civic Community, Óscar Ortiz Antelo of the Democrat Social Movement, and Jaime Paz Zamora of the Christian Democratic Party.
The 2019 presidential race is the third reelection bid of Morales. He was first elected in 2006, and reelected in 2009 and 2014.
For this year’s election, the strongest challenger of Morales is Mesa. The two are statistically tied at 32% based on the January 2019 survey of Mercados y Muestras. Mesa’s support, however, declined to 23.6% this July based on the report of Captura Consulting. The case is otherwise with the incumbent whose voting preference surged to 38.4% in the same period.
The increasing preference for Morales is because of the economic and political stability under his three terms. He also has the continuing support of the indigenous majority and the voters residing in the rural areas. He also benefits from the fragmented opposition. His baggage, though, is his friendliness towards the Nicaraguan and Venezuelan aristocrats.
Morales’s running mate is Álvaro García Linera who is also seeking reelection. Linera has been Bolivias Vice President since 2006. Mesa’s running mate is Gustavo Pedraza while Antelo and Zamora’s vice presidents are Rubén Costas and Paola BarrigaMorales’s running mate is Álvaro García Linera who is also seeking reelection. Linera has been Bolivias Vice President since 2006. Mesa’s running mate is Gustavo Pedraza while Antelo and Zamora’s vice presidents are Rubén Costas and Paola Barriga, respectively.
Should the winning candidate fail to receive at least 50% of the vote, or 40% of the vote, and 10% more than the second candidate to be elected, a runoff elections will be held with the top two finishers to determine the winner.